This will be phase 3 of the epidemiological stoppage
Under current conditions, the Ministry of Health expects that between 175,000 and 300,000 people could become ill
The federal government, through the Ministry of Health and the General Directorate of Epidemiology, has determined three phases in the contingency for COVID-19 or coronavirus.
Since the beginning of the epidemic in Mexico, on February 27, 5,399 cases have accumulated and 406 people have lost their lives due to the coronavirus .
Yesterday, Tuesday, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador said that "the most difficult part of the epidemic is yet to come."
The third phase is the epidemic phase, which would be reached between 2 and 3 weeks after scenario 2 has been reached, when the cases already number in the thousands.
In the worst case scenario that includes the SSA for this phase , whichimply that he had not applied any measures to control the spread of the virus and attention be given to any sick person, the COVID -19 infect between 0.5% and 1% the total population of the country, which could represent up to 1.2 million people.
However, under current conditions, it is expected that between 175,000 and 300,000 people could become ill. Of these people, it is estimated that the minority would require hospitalization in intensive care and that more than 70% of infected people could be asymptomatic , which means that they would only be carriers.
In this phase 3, it is also requested to avoid the kiss and hug greeting and public events are suspended , in addition to suspending classes in schools where there are active outbreaks, as well as activities in workplaces also with active outbreaks.
Various of these measures are already being carried out at this time.
Last month, López-Gatell pointed out that healthy distance measures and restricting social mobility will allow entering the third phase of the coronavirus pandemic with a lower curve of infections requiring hospitalization.
During the press conference of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, in the National Palace, the Health official explained that phase three is going to take place, but the big difference is that if the measures are vigorously instituted, and people stay home Instead of having a huge epidemic curve that overflows the health system, we will have a smaller curve.
López-Gatell insisted that Mexico was the first country to react to the pandemic, which is why National Healthy Distance Week began on March 23 and ends on April 19.
He pointed out that this measure does not stop the danger or the risk of contagion, because phase three is going to happen, and the risk is that the national health system will be saturated.
Google translation from Informador.